This section gathers short essays and analysis on the global agenda—especially the changing global economic and financial order, monetary and financial transformations, and technology-driven change. Recurring topics include the evolution of the monetary system since 1971, the role of the FED and central banks, systemic fragilities, and how shocks transmit across markets.
A second pillar is digital transformation: Bitcoin and crypto-market dynamics, Web3 and DeFi, and how new infrastructures may reshape money, credit, and power. I also write about the metaverse and the broader digital economy as part of a wider techno-economic shift.
GREAT TRANSFORMATION FROM MONETARY ECONOMY TO INFORMATION ECONOMY The economic system we have been in for nearly 300 years since the Industrial Revolution is a monetary system. Firstly, European countries, USA; The money economy, which developed with the industrial revolution in developed countries such as Japan, turned towards digitalization with the production of microchips in the 1950s. Today, the common…
The ratio of the total household debt to production, which includes the debt of the private sector and households on a country basis as well as the debt of the states in the world, is another important indicator that can give an idea about the magnitude of the destruction to be experienced in the crisis.
In the monetary system of the world, the ballooning created by the unlimitedly printed money in the markets is the most important factor triggering the systemic crisis. Here, the question arises of how countries will be affected by the impending global financial disaster.
Another important indicator of the global crisis is the ballooning in the real estate market as a result of excessive pricing. It is necessary to briefly summarize the situations in which there is a problem in the real estate market and many of them will show the risk of collapse in the market if they happen. We can summarize these…
In Figure 1, we can see the 10-year bond interest rates and real GDP growth rates of the USA. If we look at the crisis years mentioned earlier, we see that the Real GDP growth rate was lower than the 10-year bond rate, especially in the 2001 crisis.
LIBOR interest rates have been on the rise since 2015. As can be seen in Figure, this interest rate rises significantly before every crisis. It rose to 2.4 percent in 2019, which is not seen in the graph, and has started to decline since that year. As of September 2020, this ratio is around 0.82 percent (www.global-rates.com). The crisis comes…
The monetary system is changing as a natural target of technological development. The time to say goodbye to fiat papers and coins is near. In this new financial system, when the economy starts to shift to digital environments, money cannot be expected to remain in its old form. In addition, we know that in the old system, the intermediary financial…
We entered the first phase of the period that the world will call the “worst financial crisis” last March 2020. The main cause of this crisis is the system itself. We are approaching the end of the global unlimited money experiment we have experienced since 1971, when the dollar as a reserve currency was completely disconnected from gold. In order…