We witness that street events flare up from time to time around the world. Is it possible to predict these events in advance? For example, were the popular uprisings called the Arab Spring predictable? Besides, is the analysis of the market timing indicator developed by Morgan Stanley sufficient to follow the market closely and act at the appropriate time?( Morgan Stanley Combined Market Timing Indicator…
We started hearing about blockchain with bitcoin. What is blockchain actually? Blockchain is like a global open ledger. It is used not only in the production of cryptocurrencies, but also in many different areas such as storage, management and storage. We can say that blockchain technology will be at the heart of the fourth industrial revolution. Blockchain not only creates a safe and…
The internationally accepted measures that came into effect with the 2008 financial crisis to control and regulate the financial statements of banks and reduce risks are called Basel. Basel III aims to create a flexible banking system that supports the real economy. The aim of the measures revised with Basel III is to prevent excessive volatility of risk-weighted assets (RWA).…
The bond market is like the pulse of the economy Can we read the collapse in the markets on the bond market on the yield curve? Can the bond market even give us an exact date?
The BIS, the Bank for International Settlements, acts as the checkpoint for today’s unlimited money-based system. It was founded in 1930 in Basel, Switzerland. It is the central bank of central banks. One of the formations within this bank is the Basel committee. The task of the Basel committee (Read “Basel 3 and Gold”) is to regulate the international banking…
One of the most important indicators that show the bubble in the stock market is the “Shiller P / E Ratio”, ie the price / earnings (also known as the CAPE ratio) used in the stock markets developed by Professor Shiller. This ratio was developed by Yale University professor Robert Shiller, who won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2013.…
At this time while we are entering a new economic system change, the issue of what might happen in the new architecture of the economy has been frequently discussed. One of the most frequently discussed topics is the “Great Reset”, which will be discussed as one of the agendas at the World Economic Forum’s June 2021 meeting. The first step…
In order to better understand Shiller’s price / earnings (P/E) ratio, it is necessary to examine the business hours chart that should be worked in the USA in order to purchase the S&P 500. In Figure 1, we see that in the last 20 years, the lowest number of working hours was experienced during the 2009 financial crisis, with an…