Is it a coincidence that the global financial system is in trouble after Russia’s closure to world markets? Could the Russian weight weakening in the world markets with the Bolshevik Revolution in 1917 triggered the 1929 Great Depression? What about the shocking effect of Russia, which declared that it could not pay its debts after the 1997 Asian crisis, on…
A great famine begins with the disruptions in the supply of inputs from agriculture to industry all over the world. This famine is a different famine. Namely, the shortage in the energy dimension with the crisis in Russia and Ukraine is heading towards a great disaster as China closes itself to the world again.
World markets are crashing right now. This is not a normal occurrence and not an ordinary fluctuation at all. Jerome Powell said at the last meeting that the monetary committee will evaluate the decision to increase interest rates in March. That is, after evaluating the inflation and unemployment rates, it will convene regarding this decision. In other words, this explanation…
We witness that street events flare up from time to time around the world. Is it possible to predict these events in advance? For example, were the popular uprisings called the Arab Spring predictable? Besides, is the analysis of the market timing indicator developed by Morgan Stanley sufficient to follow the market closely and act at the appropriate time?( Morgan Stanley Combined Market Timing Indicator…
The bond market is like the pulse of the economy Can we read the collapse in the markets on the bond market on the yield curve? Can the bond market even give us an exact date?
Mike Maloney blended the margin debt indicator (read: Margin Debt) with the Buffet indicator and created the “market fragility index”. While the Buffet indicator gives an idea about when the market is overvalued, the market fragility index gives information about how close it is to collapse, that is, its fragility. These two important and explanatory indicators are combined in a single…
Another important indicator of the global crisis is the ballooning in the real estate market as a result of excessive pricing. It is necessary to briefly summarize the situations in which there is a problem in the real estate market and many of them will show the risk of collapse in the market if they happen. We can summarize these…