The BIS, the Bank for International Settlements, acts as the checkpoint for today’s unlimited money-based system. It was founded in 1930 in Basel, Switzerland. It is the central bank of central banks. One of the formations within this bank is the Basel committee. The task of the Basel committee (Read “Basel 3 and Gold”) is to regulate the international banking…
Author: Arzu ALVAN
Shiller Price / Earnings (P/E) Ratio on the Way to Global Crisis
One of the most important indicators that show the bubble in the stock market is the “Shiller P / E Ratio”, ie the price / earnings (also known as the CAPE ratio) used in the stock markets developed by Professor Shiller. This ratio was developed by Yale University professor Robert Shiller, who won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2013.…
Universal Basic Income
At this time while we are entering a new economic system change, the issue of what might happen in the new architecture of the economy has been frequently discussed. One of the most frequently discussed topics is the “Great Reset”, which will be discussed as one of the agendas at the World Economic Forum’s June 2021 meeting. The first step…
Buffett Indicator and S&P 500 as Crisis Indicators
In order to better understand Shiller’s price / earnings (P/E) ratio, it is necessary to examine the business hours chart that should be worked in the USA in order to purchase the S&P 500. In Figure 1, we see that in the last 20 years, the lowest number of working hours was experienced during the 2009 financial crisis, with an…
Market Fragility Index
Mike Maloney blended the margin debt indicator (read: Margin Debt) with the Buffet indicator and created the “market fragility index”. While the Buffet indicator gives an idea about when the market is overvalued, the market fragility index gives information about how close it is to collapse, that is, its fragility. These two important and explanatory indicators are combined in a single…
Bond Market and Stock Market
The years in which the international bond market entered a rapid expansion period are the early 1980s. The international bond market, a market for foreign currency bonds issued and traded across national borders, has played an important role in the internationalization of capital markets since 1980. After the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1971, floating exchange rates were…
Waiting for the Fed’s interest rate decision
What will the Fed’s interest rate decision be? All markets are holding their breath waiting for this decision. Expectations are in two different ways, as predicted. Some, especially the economy newspapers, are united in the opinion that the Fed will not increase interest rates. Another segment, namely, a group led by Wall Street, citing the critical increase in inflation and…
Behaviors of central banks and citizens in the crisis
States and central banks will have to print incredible amounts of money after the crisis in order to cope with the crisis, which the current health problem has had an accelerating effect. If they do, the price increases will also reach incredible proportions, which is actually nothing but a transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich. People who are aware…







